On Aug 9, 2021 UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is scheduled to release a major report regarding the impacts of human-induced global warming on climate change. This will be their first major report in the last 8 years since the previous report was issued in 2013.
Since then, the earth has warmed up by 1°C causing an extreme shift in weather events, flash flooding, rising of sea levels, and melting of glaciers. As a result, many countries, under pressure from concerned public and corporations, have started making efforts to restrict their carbon emissions.
Nonetheless, the climate models are predicting an alarming reality, which according to the model-makers and climate scientists are “implausibly fast”. According to Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, “It’s become clear over the last year or so that we can’t avoid this” .
Prior to each major IPCC report, Global climate modeling centers run scenarios for the future, to simulate how different global emission paths will affect Earth’s temperature. The raw data from these models, gathered by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), is published into the IPCC report.
The numbers predicted by these global climate models are “insanely scary and wrong” as quoted by Schmidt. These results provide a more realistic and definite picture of how drastically carbon emission can damage the climate of our planet.